Harris 45% vs Trump 43% vs Kennedy 5%
Harris 45% vs Trump 43% vs Kennedy 5%
538 dot com
fivethirtyeight.com
UPDATED AUG. 8, 2024, AT 1:18 PM
Latest Polls
good formatting at:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Who’s ahead in the national polls?
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Harris 45.5%Trump 43.4%Kennedy 5.3%AUG. 8, 2024 LEADERAUG. 8, 2024 LEADERHarrisHarris+2.1
95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE
Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.
President: general election, 2024
Aug. 4-6
1,413RV
The EconomistHarris
45%
43%
TrumpMoreHarris+2
July 30-Aug. 6
1,000LV
Harris
45%
44%
TrumpMoreHarris+1
July 30-Aug. 6
1,000LV
Harris
50%
50%
Trump EVEN
Aug. 2-5
1,510LV
Harris
48%
45%
Trump Harris+3
Aug. 2-4
11,265RV
Harris
48%
44%
Trump Harris+4
Aug. 1-4
1,513RV
48%
45%
TrumpMoreHarris+3
Aug. 1-4
1,513RV
51%
48%
Trump Harris+3
July 31-Aug. 4
1,001A
Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies
CNBCHarris
46%
48%
Trump Trump+2
July 31-Aug. 2
1,326RV
Issues & InsightsHarris
44%
42%
TrumpMoreHarris+2
July 31-Aug. 2
1,326RV
Issues & InsightsHarris
46%
45%
Trump Harris+1
July 30-Aug. 2
3,092LV
CBS NewsHarris
49%
47%
TrumpMoreHarris+2
July 30-Aug. 2
3,092LV
CBS NewsHarris
50%
49%
Trump Harris+1
July 30-Aug. 1
4,000RV
Harris
46%
45%
Trump Harris+1
July 29-Aug. 1
1,000RV
University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science, WCVB-TV (Boston)Harris
46%
43%
TrumpMoreHarris+3
July 24-Aug. 1
683LV
Marquette University Law School
Harris
50%
42%
TrumpMoreHarris+8
July 24-Aug. 1
879RV
Marquette University Law School
Harris
47%
41%
TrumpMoreHarris+6
July 24-Aug. 1
683LV
Marquette University Law School
Harris
53%
47%
Trump Harris+6
July 24-Aug. 1
879RV
Marquette University Law School
Harris
52%
48%
Trump Harris+4
AVG.
Indicates a polling average for this poll type
Candidate is an incumbent
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CAMPAIGN POLL
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